Byron York: Number of Obamacare Sign-ups Is Greatly Inflated
Number of Obamacare sign-ups is greatly inflated
BY: Byron York
Democrats from President Obama on down have been touting Obamacare’s sign-up numbers. Even after the system’s disastrous rollout, they like to point out, roughly three million people have signed up for private insurance, while 6.3 million have signed up for Medicaid.
“Already, because of the Affordable Care Act, more than nine million Americans have signed up for private health insurance or Medicaid coverage,” Obama said in the State of the Union speech. “Nine million.”
The number is a little larger now, since the figures are a few weeks old. But there is strong new evidence to suggest the administration’s claims are grossly exaggerated and deeply misleading. Obamacare is not doing nearly as well as the president wants you to believe.
First, Medicaid. This week, the health consulting firm Avalere found that only 1 to 2 million of the 6.3 million who signed up for Medicaid were new enrollees brought into the program by Obamacare. The rest were people who were eligible and would have signed up for Medicaid irrespective of Obamacare, in addition to people who were already on Medicaid but were renewing their status. (The researchers reached their conclusion by comparing the Obamacare sign-ups with a recent period before the new health law went into effect.)
If the Avalere report is accurate — and experts are taking it seriously — then less than one-third, and perhaps less than one-quarter, of the new Medicaid sign-ups cited by the administration were previously uninsured people gaining coverage because of Obamacare. That’s a major shortfall.