Tea Party Poll: Undecideds Still Winning Senate Race

The Tea Party Express released a new #OK2014 survey on Wednesday:

TEA PARTY OKLAHOMA SENATE POLL:
Shannon/Lankford in Dead Heat—Shannon Pulls Ahead in Run-Off

Sacramento, CA – Tea Party Express, the nation’s largest tea party political action committee, announces the results of the recent Tea Party U.S. Senate Republican Primary poll for Oklahoma. The nationally recognized polling company, NSON Opinion Strategy in Salt Lake City, Utah, conducted the poll.

This poll finds T.W. Shannon with a slight, 32.0%-30.8%, lead over James Lankford. In head-to-head run-off matchups against James Lankford, T.W. Shannon has built a more comfortable, 8-point lead over Lankford, while Brogdon trails Lankford by a 50%-10% margin.

While all three candidates enjoy strong support from Tea Party Republicans, T.W. Shannon has the highest favorability among self-identified tea partiers as well as likely Republican voters.

The statewide, live caller telephone survey conducted April 23-29 by NSON was of 400 likely Republican primary voters

Tea Party Express Chief Strategist Sal Russo said, “The poll shows the race to be very competitive with almost a third of likely voters still undecided. Shannon has overcome the large lead held by Lankford in earlier polling, and he has gained the upper hand with Tea Party identified voters in both voter favorability and in ballot choice.”

Key survey question wording and results may be found below:

1) IF THE PRIMARY ELECTION FOR THE US SENATE WERE TO BE HELD TODAY AND THE CANDIDATES WERE AS FOLLOWS, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE? (REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY)

T.W. Shannon                    32.0%
James Lankford                 30.8%
Randy Brogdon                     3.5%
Andy Craig                             1.0%
Kevin Crow                            0.3%
Undecided/Don’t Know     32.5%

2) IF THE RUN-OFF ELECTION FOR U.S. SENATE WERE BETWEEN JAMES LANKFORD AND T.W. SHANNON, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

T.W. Shannon                      38.2%
James Lankford                   30.2%
Undecided/Don’t Know     31.5%

3) IF THE RUN-OFF ELECTION FOR U.S. SENATE WERE BETWEEN JAMES LANKFORD AND RANDY BROGDON, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

James Lankford                  50.0%
Randy Brogdon                   10.2%
Undecided/Don’t Know    39.8%

4) DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF: T.W. Shannon

____________Total         Self-Identified “Tea Partiers”

Net Favorable        58.8%       68.2%
Net Unfavorable   8.3%          3.0%
No Opinion           14.5%         10.6%
Never Heard          18.5%        18.2%

5) DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF: James Lankford

____________Total             Self-Identified “Tea Partiers”

Net Favorable      54.0%           47.7%
Net Unfavorable   7.3%            5.3%
No Opinion          15.5%            18.2%
Never Heard         23.2%            28.8%

6) DO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF: Randy Brogdon

____________ Total             Self-Identified “Tea Partiers”

Net Favorable        15.8%           19.7%
Net Unfavorable     7.5%            2.3%
No Opinion            24.2%           28.0%
Never Heard          52.5%            50.0%